A section of the Nigerian population has long maintained that Bola Ahmed Tinubu rigged the 2023 presidential election. Others believe that, although the election had significant shortcomings, the outcome reflected the constitutional requirements and the votes officially declared by INEC. The truth is more complicated. The election was marked by considerable drama, controversy and legal challenges. To understand the arguments, it helps to examine both the election results and the constitutional provisions governing how a Nigerian president emerges. What does the Constitution actually say? Under Section 134(2) of the Nigerian Constitution, where there are more than two presidential candidates, a candidate must satisfy two conditions: Secure the highest number of votes cast in the election. Obtain at least 25% of the votes cast in at least two-thirds of all the states of the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja. This second condition generated considerable controversy...
Recent developments in Nigeria have once again drawn attention to the Yoruba as a people who, despite their internal differences, are often perceived by other Nigerians as a relatively united political and economic bloc. Many people believe the Yoruba speak with one voice. However, when we look more closely at the numbers, a different picture emerges. We have many voices. Politically, election results frequently reveal divisions that are almost 50–50. Religiously, Christianity and Islam coexist in virtually every Yoruba community, village and, in many cases, within the same family. We also have traditionalists who continue to practise and preserve indigenous Yoruba beliefs. Our political differences are not new. Shortly before independence, and particularly in 1962, the Action Group split sharply between factions loyal to Chief Obafemi Awolowo and Chief Samuel Ladoke Akintola. That division became one of the defining political crises of the First Republic. Yet, something appears to bin...